What hot new tech product do you think will be completely forgotten about a year from now?

Criteria that tick

Technology

Crypto Currency

·        Few cryptocurrencies are solving real world problems such as remittance, being recognized as legit tender for transaction

·        With the emergence of various exchanges entry and participation has eased a lot

·        Product moat is very deep, if a crypto currency is recognized as legal tender for transaction, it will be expensive to revert

NFT

·        NFT is not solving any real user problem it is merely a collectible; ownership of which is stored on blockchain

·        Difficult to enter/ participate -- Currently there are very less exchanges offering NFTs since trading NFTs with fiat currency is not possible

·        Easy to replace -- Physical art is still an easy alternative

·        Product moat is deep since switching from NFT to physical art may be costly/cheaper depending on price of physical art   

Automobile

Self-driving

·        Solving a real problem

·        Neither difficult to enter or participate with the emergence of technology

·        Easy alternatives are available –Ye, conventional cars

·        Product moat is very deep since there is a major cost of replacing this product

Alternate energy

Conclusion – Basis the assessment,  NFT appears to be a candidate that will either be replaced or forgotten in a year or so from now