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Total population ≈ 13 million
Assume motorization rate (vehicles per 1,000 people) ≈ 600
⇒ 13 million × 600 / 1,000 = 7.8 million vehicles
Assume distribution:
2-wheelers (70%) ⇒ 5.46 million
Cars (20%) ⇒ 1.56 million
Commercial vehicles/taxis (10%) ⇒ 0.78 million
2-wheelers: ~25 km/day
Cars: ~35 km/day
Commercial vehicles: ~50 km/day
2-wheelers: 40 km/l
Cars: 15 km/l
Commercial vehicles: 8 km/l
Total km = 5.46M × 25 = 136.5 million km
Fuel = 136.5M ÷ 40 = ~3.41 million liters/day
Total km = 1.56M × 35 = 54.6 million km
Fuel = 54.6M ÷ 15 = ~3.64 million liters/day
Total km = 0.78M × 50 = 39 million km
Fuel = 39M ÷ 8 = ~4.88 million liters/day
3.41M (2W) + 3.64M (cars) + 4.88M (CVs) = ~11.93 million liters/day
CQ:
Is it location specific - consider urban India
Use case for driving car or others as well like aeroplanes/jets/industrial use etc. - consider whatever being burnt on road by on-road vehicles
Assumption of total population: 140cr
Approach:
Urban -> 30% -> 50cr
No of families: 12.5cr (50/4)
Working population: 70% avg employment rate; also assume 1.5 people/family are working in an urban family: 12.6cr individuals
% population which travels for work: assume 30% work from home/local shops -> 8.5cr
Avg length travelled/day -> 2*4kms -> 8km
Total distance travelled: 68cr km
90% is unique assuming rest is combined travel: 61cr km
Gasoline burnt:
30% travel by car with avg mileage: 10km -> 1.8 cr litres
70% travel by 2 wheelers with avg mileage: 50km -> 0.8cr litres
If then I have to calculate for overall India, I can do so with for non-urban India as well
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